How the simulation works
End of month = Start + New subscribers − (Start × Unsubscribe rate)Unsubscribes are applied to the list size at the start of each month. Results are rounded for display only.
The ceiling: why lists stop growing
If you add the same number of people every month and lose the same percentage every month, your list eventually levels off. That ceiling is simply:
Ceiling = New subscribers per month ÷ Monthly unsubscribe rateWith 200 signups a month and a 2% monthly unsubscribe rate, the list tops out around 10,000. Cutting unsubscribes to 1% doubles the ceiling to 20,000 — the same effect as doubling your signups. That's why list hygiene and relevant content matter as much as new opt-in forms.
How to estimate your unsubscribe rate
Add up everyone who left your list last month — unsubscribes, hard bounces and spam complaints — and divide by your list size at the start of the month. Average a few months for a steadier number.
Next: see what that list is worth with the ROI Calculator, or measure engagement with the Open Rate Calculator.